Monthly Mow Down
Issued:
Below average autumn rainfall likely for most of the south, above average in the north
March to May
- Autumn rainfall as a whole is likely to be below average (60 to 80% chance) for most of southern Australia, except parts of the east coast.
- There is no clear forecast signal in March for most of southern Australia, with a drier-than-average forecast signal strengthening and expanding to cover much of Australia from April.
- Above average autumn rainfall is likely (60 to 75% chance) for parts of northern Australia including Cape York Peninsula and central parts of the Northern Territory, largely due to the strong signal for above average rainfall in March.
- There is an increased chance of unusually low rainfall1 (over 40% chance) for parts of Victoria and south-western Western Australia from April onwards.
1Unusually low rainfall is that in the driest 20% of March to May records between 1981 and 2018
https://www.bom.gov.au/climate/outlooks/#/rainfall/summary